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The "safety" in predicting the future that has not yet happened is that we can continue to "alter" our prediction - (unintentionally) until we are correct.

 

There is more effectiveness in identifying (not predicting) the "future" that has already happened. It is not easy to identify the storm while in its eye. We need to take a broader look from a "higher" perspective.

 

The training function can help its clients identify this "future."

 

Who helps the training function?

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What do you perceive as the "brand" of your training function to your internal/external clients?

 

1. It identifies the future and helps shape the organizational abilities ahead of time

2. It reacts to the definition of the future by others and "scrambles" to catch up

3. It focuses on stability and maintaining predictability based on analysis of past performance

 

Where do you want the brand to be? Are you there?

How does one get good at identifying the future?

One analogy I like is that identifying the future is like "being able to see around corners."

Which method would you prefer to use when trying to see around a corner?

1. Think about other corners you have turned in the past and repeat what you did before?

2. Try to find someone that has already turned the corner and learn from them?

3. Find someone who has turned an analogous corner and learn from them?

How would you characterize yourself in your industry - leader, follower, other?

How would a leader, follower, other - answer the three questions above?

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